Now that the drama has dissipated, we need to ask the deeper questions, ones that go beyond the specific choices of personnel in this leadership reshuffle and will have a long-term impact on Politburo politics. Chinese President Xi Jinping is seen at the end of the Chinese Communist Party's 20th Party Congress on a giant screen a commercial district of Hangzhou in eastern China's Zhejiang province on . We have witnessed age-eligible ordinary Politburo members being denied a membership renewal at the 16th Party Congress election overseen by Jiang Zemin in 2002 (one case, Li Tieying, who was 66 at the time), at the 18th Party Congress election overseen by Hu Jintao in 2012 (one case, concerning Wang Lequan, who was not yet 68 when the congress convened), and, on an expanded scale, at the 19th Party Congress election overseen by Xi Jinping in 2017 (three cases concerning Li Yuanchao, Liu Qibao, and Zhang Chunxian), which are all within the remit of the rule. She is currently writing a book on Corruption, Law and Power Struggles The China Model, which will be published by Cambridge University Press in 2023. Browse an unrivalled portfolio of real-time and historical market data and insights from worldwide sources and experts. And what happens if the United States and China continue down a path of decoupling? Screen for heightened risk individual and entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks. Nevertheless, the age limit norm remains a predominate mechanism that regulates leadership turnover. The rule was breached in only one instance: Zhang Youxia (72), who was re-elected to the Politburo and became the vice chairman of the Central Military Commission. Free shipping for many products! This fact was further amplified by the humiliating removal from the center stage of the Party Congress of Hu Jintao, who once chaired the Youth League. * Lastly, I will flag two significant counterfactuals, namely, some clearly marked paths that Xi did not take, and their possible ramifications. Surprise 5: I believed that the military leadership would change substantially, but I never thought that the two Central Military Commission vice chairman would be Zhang Youxia and He Weidong. He will take China to an even more Sino-centric approach to policy, particularly foreign policy, said Steve Tsang, director of the University of Londons SOAS China Institute. Several widely reported incidents of public defiance occurred during the Congress: the one-man protest on Beijings Sitong Bridge, not my president posters on several university campuses, and Hong Kong protesters outside of the Chinese consulate in Manchester, UK. Weekly update on whats driving U.S. national security policy. Again putting aside Xi Jinping as the GPS and therefore an exception, both members who had exceeded the current age limit Li Zhanshu (72) and Han Zheng (68) left the PSC. Nguyen Xuan Phuc has become the first Vietnamese president to resign from office, amid an ongoing graft scandal linked to the country's COVID-19 response. Few China-watchers expect Beijing to make a military move on Taiwan anytime soon, and there is little sign of preparing society for such a high-risk step and the blowback it would provoke, such as heavy Western sanctions. Nonresident Senior Fellow, John L. Thornton China Center. Xi is now set to begin a third five-year term at the top, breaching the established custom of a two-term rule. [45] Jude Blanchette, an expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that the event "didnt have the stage-managed feel of an orchestrated purge",[46] while Bill Bishop, a China expert, noted that the China Central Television would likely not show Hu during the news footage of the event if he was purged. Xis stated desire to bring Taiwan under Beijings control will also be in focus during a third term, especially with tensions heightened following US House Speaker Nancy Pelosis recent Taipei visit. The age limit norm regulates membership in all five CCP decision-making bodies at the national level, but, for the sake of brevity, I will limit my analysis only to two: the Politburo and the PSC. More than 200 people were killed in just two days in Sudan after tribes clashed over a land dispute last week, officials said on Sunday. "[29][30] Xi Jinping appeared wholly unconcerned but Li Zhanshu and Wang Huning, both sitting to Hu's left, appeared visibly concerned. Read all the Order from Chaos content, Stronger: Adapting Americas China Strategy in an Age of Competitive Interdependence, Candidates for Chinas 20th Politburo Standing Committee and Politburo. Having led China for nearly a decade, President Xi Jinping has initiated unprecedented campaigns to fight corruption, reform the military, and eliminate poverty, while confronting the public health, economic, and political ramifications of the COVID-19 . Evening roundup with our editors favorite stories of the day. Alongside Xi, six loyalists will now make up the Standing Committee. And what happens if the United States and China continue down a path of decoupling? * Xi opened the week-long, twice-a-decade session with a speech touting China's fight against COVID-19, the party's safeguarding of national security, maintaining social stability, protecting people's lives and taking control of the situation in Hong Kong, which was rocked by anti-government protests in 2019. Build the strongest argument relying on authoritative content, attorney-editor expertise, and industry defining technology. [48], Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Sunday on securing an unprecedented third term as leader. The Politburo Standing Committee line-up brought a number of surprises, but Xi still seems to have operated within a broad institutional framework. Did you encounter any technical issues? Party Congresses generally are about power, personnel, and national priorities. * Leaders face a difficult time, with a slowing economy, questions over whether and how to exit its strict zero-COVID policy, rising tensions over Taiwan and high-profile protests over several issues this year. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. Delivered weekdays. Were very proud of the brands Italian heritage, the companys Italian know-how, and the quality of our pasta in the U.S. and globally, a company spokesperson said in a statement. * At the congress's closing on Saturday, the party's new 205-member Central Committee did not include Li Keqiang or former Guangdong party boss Wang Yang, who had been seen as a potential replacement as premier. European and Asian leaders began to call the IRA unfair competition and protectionist. Given that the two hard cases of violation concern positions of the military and foreign relations respectively, the violations can be considered as exceptions and justified due to the heightened concern for security in this congressional term. Many say the Woman, Life, Freedom movement will threaten the regime this year. * In his opening speech, Xi said it was up to the Chinese people to resolve the Taiwan issue and China would never renounce the right to use force but will strive for a peaceful resolution. Hong Kong tells teachers to study Xi Jinping's speech. [3] Elections for the delegates of the 20th Chinese Communist Party National Congress started in November 2021,[4] as well as receiving and amending party documents. [26][27][28] According to Agence France-Presse journalists, Hu "initially seemed reluctant to leave. Xis work report reflected a mix of both triumphalism and a warning of turbulence ahead. As I explained elsewhere, chairman is the highest title that a CCP leader can strive for. Interestingly, the least surprising electoral outcome was Xi Jinpings securing of a third term as general party secretary (GPS). today.]. A Warner Bros. [54], 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, Zhnggu Gngchndng Drshc Qungu Dibio Dhu, National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, 20th Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, 19th Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, Presidium of the 20th Chinese Communist Party National Congress, chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, chairman of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, Hu Jintao's removal from the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, 19th Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, Center for Strategic and International Studies, "CPC initiates election process for delegates to 20th national congress", "Xi Jinping's path to precedent-breaking third term - Nikkei Asia", "China Looks Ahead to 20th Party Congress in 2022", "CCP formally starts selection process for delegates to next year's congress", "Retired Chinese cadres warned not to make 'negative' comments", "China's Xi reemerges after trip abroad quashing unfounded 'coup' rumors", "(CPC Congress) Xi presides over preparatory meeting for 20th CPC National Congress", "(CPC Congress) Presidium of 20th CPC National Congress holds first meeting", "China quashes social media about protest banners in Beijing", "China's Internet Censors Race to Quell Beijing Protest Chatter", "Anti-Xi protest spreads in China and worldwide as Chinese leader begins third term | CNN", "China's 'Bridge Man' inspires Xi Jinping protest signs around the world", "Anti-Xi Slogans in Rare Beijing Protest Spread Within China", "Anti-Xi Jinping Posters Are Spreading in China via AirDrop", "China's Xi Jinping Stakes Out Ambitions, With Himself at the Center", "Presidium of 20th CPC National Congress holds its first meeting Xi Jinping delivers speech", Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, "Xi Jinping's vision for China's next five years: key takeaways from his speech", "Xi signals continuity in his China Communist Party congress speech", "Full text of Constitution of Communist Party of China", "Factbox: China's Communist Party amends its charter, strengthens Xi's power", "(CPC Congress) Full text of resolution on Party Constitution amendment-Xinhua", "Xi Jinping secures unprecedented third term as China leader", "Politburo Standing Committee: Who are the men who rule China now? October 12, 2022, 6:42 PM. The combination of the seemingly careless violations of the age limit norm and the disciplined self-constraint to hold back from claiming the CCP chairmanship paints a curious picture of Xis mindset. He chose a more radical and costly approach over a more accommodating and collaborative one in order to establish total informal control over the PSC. For the purpose of this analysis, the age limit rules concerning the Politburo and the PSC consist of: First, the 20th Party Congress fully observed the rule of departure at the PSC. Christina Lu is a reporter at Foreign Policy. * China's approach to foreign policy is also in the spotlight after a Hong Kong protester was dragged into the Chinese consulate in Manchester on Sunday and assaulted in an incident which the police are investigating. After the congress, many in China and globally will watch for Beijings efforts to stave off a protracted economic downturn, which raises the chance of Covid curbs being eased, although a lack of widespread immunity among Chinas 1.4 billion people and the absence of more effective mRNA vaccines remain constraints. 2023 Cable News Network. [53] The Shanghai Stock Exchange only declined by 2% after the meeting. [22][23], The CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping secured an unprecedented third term as China's leader. Hu nudged and whispered to Xi, and gave a pat on the back of Premier Li Keqiang before being led away. To better facilitate the analysis, I also unpack the age limit norm to three sets of rules, which contrasts with the single-level, single-dimensional understanding of this norm that has dominated current analyses. Report, Trans-Pacific Download the FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. The event is expected to resolve. Oct 18 (Reuters) - China's 20th Communist Party Congress began on Sunday, with Xi Jinping poised to clinch his third five-year stint in charge - a mandate that would secure him as the country's most powerful ruler since founding leader Mao Zedong. The Chinese delegation, led by deputy head of the International Department of the CPC Central Committee Chen Zhou, visited Sri Lanka from . David M. Finkelstein | Thursday, October 20, 2022. What Happened at Chinas 20th Party Congress? Victor Shih. Explore the benefits included in your subscription. [2] It will be followed by the 21st National Congress of the CCP in 2027. Build the strongest argument relying on authoritative content, attorney-editor expertise, and industry defining technology. * Xi said it was up to the Chinese people to resolve the Taiwan issue and China would never renounce the right to use force but will strive for a peaceful resolution. I expected that he would need to promote younger sixth generation (6G) leaders, but I never predicted that the two younger leaders, Li Qiang and Ding Xuexiang, would both be positioned to serve in the State Council as premier and executive vice premier. It was one of the countrys worst incidents of tribal fighting in years. They understand that to make their claims heard, they should focus on bread-and-butter issues while proclaiming unflagging support for the Party. Xi Jinping delivers a speech during the opening ceremony of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party in October 2022: Xi's power has become a global . CNN Sans & 2016 Cable News Network. Just $5 a month. [17][18] During the speech, he defended China's zero-COVID approach to the COVID-19 pandemic in mainland China, said that Hong Kong had "a major transition from chaos to governance", advocated for Taiwan's "peaceful reunification" but vowed to not renounce the use of force, advocated for "common prosperity," and denounced corruption. October 21, 2022 January 6, 2023 Archives & Recordings, High Profile Events. People. Delivered Monday-Saturday. Senior Fellow, Center for East Asia Policy Studies, John L. Thornton China Center. Enjoying this article? Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. The world's second-largest economy is slowing and facing a potentially painful rebalancing of its investment- and property-led model. Remember the adage that generals always fight the last war? You may opt out at any time. Want to read more on this topic or region? With the naming of the Standing Committeea powerful, elite group of seven politicians inside the larger Politburo, Chinas key policymaking committeeit is now clear who will be charged with executing this vision of absolute control. But the third and most disturbing possibility is that it was planned, and we just witnessed Xi deliberately and publicly humiliate his predecessor, Palmer added. The Politburo announced on Tuesday the start date for the congress, which typically lasts about a week and takes place mostly behind closed doors at the Great Hall of the People on the western side of Tiananmen Square in central Beijing. The symbolism is easy to see. Build the strongest argument relying on authoritative content, attorney-editor expertise, and industry defining technology. This three-part series explores the. REUTERS/Thomas Peter. Introduction "Security" was the operative word in General Secretary Xi Jinping's opening report to the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) this October. But this time, three sets of dissidents broke from the usual script of defiance to directly criticize the supreme leader and the Party. Youre on the list! Asia, Central Ling Li teaches Chinese studies at the University of Vienna. Brazil holds a final presidential debate ahead of the countrys runoff election. The two also discussed climate cooperation with China, the road to COP28, and much else. Oct 22 (Reuters) - China's Communist Party wrapped up its twice-a-decade congress on Saturday, approving amendments cementing Xi Jinping's iron grip on the party and revealing a new Central Committee missing two key officials lacking close ties to the leader. appreciated. * In a highly unusual situation, Chinese former President Hu Jintao was unexpectedly escorted out of the closing ceremony. Asia, Southeast A total of 2,296 delegates were elected to represent the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)'s 96.7 million members by 25 September 2022. Compiled by Lincoln Feast and William Mallard; Editing by Michael Perry, China's BYD takes cautious approach to U.S. in global EV push, Chinese who lost relatives to COVID angry at failure to protect elderly, China's pessimistic Gen Z poses challenge for Xi post-COVID, Exclusive: Russia sees sanctions impact on oil products, eyes crude export boost -senior source, Stocks bouyed by cheery data after BOJ damp squib, World's No.2 aircraft lessor SMBC sees recession risk localized, Davos 2023 - Citi CEO Fraser says China opening up is good news for the market, Most Chinese provinces set growth targets of above 5% in 2023, See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Insights from worldwide sources and experts Exchange only declined by 2 % after the meeting the IRA unfair competition protectionist... 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